Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -23.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -19.3 (+2.7) | 139.0 (-5.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -22.2 (-0.2) | 138.5 (-4.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -18.9 (+3.1) | 138.0 (-4.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -20.1 (+1.9) | 140.0 (-6.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#60) | -9.9 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#17) | -1.01 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#14) | -1.66 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#11) | 0.450 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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