Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -300 SELA +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -0.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -0.1 (+14.9) | 151.2 (+9.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -2.7 (+12.3) | 148.9 (+12.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -0.9 (+14.1) | 152.2 (+8.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -0.7 (+14.3) | 151.5 (+9.5) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#295) | -2.2 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#257) | -0.34 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#262) | -0.77 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#230) | 0.470 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 26.7 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 57.7% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.4% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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