Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -25.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +45 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -25.1 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -20.9 (+24.1) | 131.1 (-6.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -21.4 (+23.6) | 131.0 (-6.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -17.4 (+27.6) | 133.5 (-8.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -18.1 (+26.9) | 133.3 (-8.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#85) | -14.7 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#220) | -2.11 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#168) | -2.98 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#143) | 0.409 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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