Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BELL -300 M-OH +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -13.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -10.0 (-14.0) | 142.3 (-4.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -9.9 (-13.9) | 135.4 (+2.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -10.1 (-14.1) | 137.6 (+0.4) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -10.7 (-14.7) | 141.1 (-3.1) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | BELL 77 – 68 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-9 |
| Away | 6-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#217) | -10.9 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#188) | -2.36 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#184) | -3.61 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#145) | 0.401 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 27.1 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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