Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -14.7 (-23.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -11.3 (-20.3) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -10.2 (-19.2) | 139.5 (+5.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -10.8 (-19.8) | 141.9 (+3.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -11.4 (-20.4) | 144.7 (+0.3) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | M-OH 71 – 67 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#104) | -6.0 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#185) | -1.01 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#139) | -1.75 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#236) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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