Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -350 SOU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -10.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -10.0 (-6.0) | 151.3 (+14.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -8.2 (-4.2) | 150.8 (+15.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -9.2 (-5.2) | 151.0 (+15.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -9.9 (-5.9) | 151.8 (+14.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-2 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#93) | -0.6 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#156) | -1.18 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#135) | -1.62 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#171) | 0.493 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 39.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.