Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | PITT -1000 UNF +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +26 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -14.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -15.1 (+10.9) | 146.8 (-8.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -13.5 (+12.5) | 149.3 (-11.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -15.0 (+11.0) | 147.1 (-9.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -14.9 (+11.1) | 147.8 (-9.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#83) | -3.8 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#100) | -0.54 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#68) | -0.51 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#106) | 0.494 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.