Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -188 CAM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +1 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -1.4 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -1.0 (+0.0) | 137.0 (-30.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -0.8 (+1.8) | 132.2 (-25.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -0.8 (+0.2) | 138.1 (-31.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -0.3 (+0.7) | 139.2 (-32.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2021 | GASO 69 – 66 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#300) | -0.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#282) | -0.35 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#264) | -0.24 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#263) | 0.439 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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