Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -7.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -6.2 (-9.2) | 127.5 (+7.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -6.1 (-9.1) | 125.1 (+9.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -5.1 (-8.1) | 129.8 (+5.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -6.3 (-9.3) | 128.4 (+6.6) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | GASO 54 – 53 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#104) | 1.4 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#74) | 0.05 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#85) | 0.24 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#92) | 0.486 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 10.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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