Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SIU -2000 CHST +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +11 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -14.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -12.7 (-1.7) | 139.2 (-24.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -11.2 (-0.2) | 139.0 (-24.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -11.9 (-0.9) | 139.6 (-24.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -12.4 (-1.4) | 138.1 (-23.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | SIU 71 – 55 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 0-0 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-0 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-20 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#103) | -5.3 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#113) | -0.98 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#138) | -1.11 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#113) | 0.416 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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