Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC -150 WCU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -6.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -2.3 (-12.3) | 145.2 (-5.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -3.8 (-13.8) | 147.6 (-7.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -3.9 (-13.9) | 148.5 (-8.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -4.3 (-14.3) | 148.1 (-8.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | WCU 69 – 65 TNTC |
| Dec 9, 2021 | WCU 74 – 69 TNTC |
| Dec 6, 2020 | WCU 76 – 75 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#287) | -7.6 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#334) | -1.60 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#332) | -2.80 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#322) | 0.411 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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