Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC +230 WCU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -8.8 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -7.3 (+3.3) | 139.0 (-5.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -6.6 (+2.6) | 141.3 (-7.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -8.8 (+4.8) | 141.2 (-7.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -8.1 (+4.1) | 138.9 (-4.9) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | WCU 75 – 65 TNTC |
| Dec 9, 2021 | WCU 74 – 69 TNTC |
| Dec 6, 2020 | WCU 76 – 75 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#322) | 6.3 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#248) | 3.24 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#279) | 4.57 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#257) | 0.705 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 17.5% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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