Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -800 TNTC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -23.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -13.2 (-12.2) | 142.5 (+8.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -17.1 (-16.1) | 146.5 (+4.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -18.0 (-17.0) | 146.3 (+4.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -18.3 (-17.3) | 146.9 (+4.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | WCU 69 – 65 TNTC |
| Dec 17, 2022 | WCU 75 – 65 TNTC |
| Dec 9, 2021 | WCU 74 – 69 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 5-22 |
| Conference | 4-13 | 5-15 |
| Home | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#71) | -10.2 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#88) | -1.63 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#79) | -2.23 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#92) | 0.524 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 25.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 27.1% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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