Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -1.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -3.1 (+1.9) | 143.7 (-0.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -3.1 (+1.9) | 145.7 (-2.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -3.4 (+1.6) | 145.7 (-2.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -3.2 (+1.8) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | WCU 69 – 65 TNTC |
| Dec 17, 2022 | WCU 75 – 65 TNTC |
| Dec 6, 2020 | WCU 76 – 75 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#256) | -1.5 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#182) | -1.02 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#210) | -0.89 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#176) | 0.425 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
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