Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -188 FGCU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -2.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -2.3 (-15.3) | 133.7 (-4.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -2.3 (-15.3) | 135.1 (-6.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -2.2 (-15.2) | 135.0 (-6.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -3.7 (-16.7) | 131.4 (-2.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | SBU 74 – 65 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#148) | 3.9 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#175) | 1.46 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#167) | 1.91 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#186) | 0.592 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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