Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU +120 SBU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +9 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -0.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -2.9 (-6.1) | 130.1 (+8.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -0.6 (-8.4) | 131.5 (+7.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -0.7 (-8.3) | 133.8 (+5.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -7.7 (-1.3) | 132.2 (+6.8) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | FGCU 71 – 58 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#157) | 9.6 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#277) | 2.08 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#274) | 3.02 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#282) | 0.688 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.0% | 38.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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