Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MAN -163 CCSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -2.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -3.8 (-14.8) | 138.6 (+6.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -3.2 (-14.2) | 140.9 (+4.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -2.5 (-13.5) | 141.3 (+3.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -2.7 (-13.7) | 142.2 (+2.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | MAN 67 – 63 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#337) | -8.6 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#321) | -3.36 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#331) | -4.21 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#342) | 0.386 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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