Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | PV +260 MONT -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -2.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -2.8 (-2.2) | 132.0 (+25.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -1.7 (-3.3) | 128.3 (+28.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -2.1 (-2.9) | 133.6 (+23.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -2.7 (-2.3) | 134.0 (+23.0) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-7 |
| Home | 9-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#203) | 1.5 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#245) | -0.06 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#210) | 0.06 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#251) | 0.498 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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