Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -275 STET +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -2.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -2.8 (+16.2) | 143.6 (+7.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -5.4 (+13.6) | 141.2 (+9.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -3.1 (+15.9) | 145.0 (+6.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -2.8 (+16.2) | 144.7 (+6.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | OHIO 55 – 45 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#208) | 1.1 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#163) | 0.31 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#166) | 0.55 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#224) | 0.517 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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