Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · December 11, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread OHIO -6.5 Away covered
O/U 140.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total STET win
Actual OHIO +10 100 Lost
Massey OHIO -5.9 (-4.1) — —
Massey Totals — 134.9 (-34.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 5% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 0% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OHIO -4.8 (-5.2) 134.6 (-34.6) 27% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OHIO -6.9 (-3.1) 133.7 (-33.7) 21% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OHIO -4.0 (-6.0) 137.4 (-37.4) 31% ✓
Baseline ML OHIO -4.6 (-5.4) 136.6 (-36.6) 35% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 17, 2022 OHIO 85 – 66 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STET OHIO
Neutral 0-0 2-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Massey -5.7 (#275) 5.1 (#88)
Bradley-Terry -1.82 (#306) 2.08 (#46)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.16 (#323) 3.25 (#38)
RPI 0.410 (#297) 0.599 (#42)
Shooting & Four Factors STET OHIO
FG% 41.5% 42.2%
3PT% 31.0% 36.1%
REB / G 32.8 31.7
OREB / G 8.8 10.7
AST / TO 1.00 1.32
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 49.9%
TOV% 20.2% 16.0%
ORB% 25.1% 28.3%
FT Rate 14.5% 13.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.4% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 22.1%
DRB% 75.8% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 14.9% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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