Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Jersey Mike’s Arena · December 17, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -8.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money RUTG -450 / WAKE +310
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +24 138 Won
Massey RUTG -15.0 (+9.0) — —
Massey Totals — 131.3 (+6.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 47% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 61% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -10.3 (+13.7) 134.6 (+3.4) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -11.8 (+12.2) 135.1 (+2.9) 85% ✓
Baseline ML RUTG -12.6 (+11.4) 136.0 (+2.0) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -12.3 (+11.7) 137.8 (+0.2) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 6, 2023 WAKE 76 – 57 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG WAKE
Overall 19-15 19-14
Conference 10-10 10-10
Home 14-6 13-3
Away 4-7 4-8
Neutral 1-2 2-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 76.6
Avg Pts Against 61.1 73.8
Massey 13.4 (#21) 3.4 (#109)
Bradley-Terry 0.33 (#150) 1.42 (#73)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.09 (#110) 1.79 (#80)
RPI 0.528 (#130) 0.584 (#58)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG WAKE
FG% 42.4% 46.7%
3PT% 30.9% 34.5%
REB / G 39.1 36.3
OREB / G 13.2 8.7
AST / TO 1.07 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.0% 53.8%
TOV% 19.2% 18.3%
ORB% 35.6% 26.1%
FT Rate 23.6% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 40.9% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 25.4% 19.2%
DRB% 70.2% 75.4%
Opp FT Rate 17.9% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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