Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | WAKE -180 RUTG +152 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +19 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -1.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -2.3 (+16.7) | 140.2 (-7.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -2.2 (+16.8) | 136.0 (-3.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -1.9 (+17.1) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -1.6 (+17.4) | 141.0 (-8.0) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | RUTG 81 – 57 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#111) | 7.9 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#193) | 0.90 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#172) | 1.57 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#156) | 0.572 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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