Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -120 RAD +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -1.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -1.1 (+3.1) | 143.7 (-11.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -1.0 (+3.0) | 141.0 (-9.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -1.1 (+3.1) | 143.9 (-11.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -0.8 (+2.8) | 144.1 (-12.1) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | RAD 88 – 75 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#270) | 1.0 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#255) | -0.73 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#302) | -1.05 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#223) | 0.460 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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