Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | RAD +195 EKU -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +13 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -0.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -1.2 (+14.2) | 138.4 (+24.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -1.8 (+14.8) | 142.3 (+20.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -0.1 (+13.1) | 136.0 (+27.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -0.1 (+13.1) | 137.3 (+25.7) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | EKU 67 – 65 RAD |
Game Analysis
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