Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +175 LONG -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -4.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -2.4 (-2.6) | 139.3 (+5.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -4.6 (-0.4) | 137.8 (+7.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -2.8 (-2.2) | 137.5 (+7.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -2.5 (-2.5) | 138.4 (+6.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2020 | CIT 91 – 89 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#308) | 1.8 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#204) | -0.65 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#217) | -0.84 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#195) | 0.476 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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