Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MSST -10000 NICH +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -24.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -21.2 (-19.2) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -19.9 (-17.9) | 132.1 (+1.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -21.6 (-19.6) | 132.1 (+1.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -23.2 (-21.2) | 130.9 (+3.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2023 | MSST 74 – 61 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#18) | -5.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#7) | -0.55 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.29 (#7) | -0.85 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#42) | 0.470 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.0% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 39.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.