Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | MSST -7000 NICH +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -18.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -18.2 (-5.2) | 147.4 (-12.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -16.1 (-3.1) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -16.8 (-3.8) | 142.9 (-7.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -15.9 (-2.9) | 147.6 (-12.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | MSST 68 – 66 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#21) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.72 (#6) | 0.74 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.54 (#7) | 0.83 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.822 (#3) | 0.517 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.8% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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