Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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55–22 on winners spread MAE 9.9 77 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Connecticut @ Manhattan +3.8 138.6 60% 78–67 ✗
Delaware @ Princeton +10.6 141.3 83% 76–69 ✗
Dartmouth @ South Florida +8.4 133.6 79% 55–59 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ St. Bonaventure +3.7 131.4 63% 71–58 ✗
Austin Peay @ Murray State +11.8 134.3 85% 60–68 ✓
Southern @ Youngstown State +8.2 150.8 78% 81–85 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Tulsa +13.8 134.4 89% 51–66 ✓
Chicago State @ Southern Illinois +12.7 139.2 88% 52–63 ✓
Missouri State @ Oral Roberts +8.7 143.3 77% 77–80 ✓
Green Bay @ Stanford +21.4 131.0 91% 40–85 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette +6.7 152.2 77% 58–69 ✓
Weber State @ Cal Poly +7.2 124.8 75% 74–45 ✗
Indiana @ Kansas +6.7 142.7 81% 62–84 ✓
Saint Francis @ Miami +22.3 152.1 91% 76–91 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ IU Indianapolis +2.0 134.1 34% 70–59 ✗
Missouri @ UCF +2.7 147.7 56% 68–66 ✗
Wake Forest @ Rutgers +10.3 134.6 79% 57–81 ✓
Liberty @ Bryant -1.7 145.4 42% 82–62 ✓
Providence @ Seton Hall +2.2 138.5 51% 71–67 ✗
Montana @ Prairie View A&M -1.7 128.3 38% 81–76 ✓
Gonzaga @ Alabama +3.2 160.2 51% 100–90 ✗
Longwood @ The Citadel -4.6 137.8 27% 75–70 ✓
Towson @ Northern Iowa -6.4 130.6 31% 66–83 ✗
North Florida @ Pittsburgh +13.5 149.3 87% 56–82 ✓
Houston @ Virginia -1.7 121.2 25% 69–61 ✓
Little Rock @ Jacksonville State +9.5 146.7 82% 62–72 ✓
Stetson @ Ohio +5.4 141.2 75% 66–85 ✓
Radford @ Eastern Kentucky -1.0 141.0 50% 65–67 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Gardner-Webb +4.3 129.4 67% 70–72 ✓
Delaware State @ Drexel +14.6 131.8 88% 52–85 ✓
Florida International @ Florida Atlantic +20.5 149.7 90% 53–79 ✓
Morehead State @ Mercer +5.3 134.5 70% 52–79 ✓
Troy @ SE Louisiana -6.3 143.1 28% 77–71 ✓
Florida A&M @ Louisville +9.0 130.2 83% 55–61 ✓
UT Martin @ Bowling Green +4.5 151.8 70% 75–67 ✗
La Salle @ Cincinnati +13.8 144.4 86% 60–78 ✓
Indiana State @ Duquesne +1.8 153.7 64% 86–92 ✓
Charlotte @ Monmouth -11.5 128.9 19% 80–46 ✓
DePaul @ Northwestern +8.2 137.5 78% 45–83 ✓
East Carolina @ South Carolina -3.7 134.4 35% 64–56 ✓
Alabama State @ Georgia Tech +15.3 141.2 88% 60–96 ✓
St. John's @ Florida State -8.7 150.5 23% 93–79 ✓
Nicholls @ Mississippi State +21.2 133.4 90% 66–68 ✓
Ohio State @ North Carolina -1.3 151.8 45% 84–89 ✗
Sam Houston @ Texas State -7.5 125.9 20% 69–62 ✓
Samford @ South Carolina State -7.9 153.6 28% 61–62 ✗
Campbell @ Georgia Southern -0.8 132.2 51% 53–54 ✗
Lamar @ UL Monroe +3.6 137.6 67% 59–83 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah +12.2 149.8 86% 101–106 ✓
Northwestern State @ Rice +3.4 153.9 64% 73–110 ✓
North Texas @ Massachusetts -3.1 124.9 29% 62–44 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma +21.0 144.9 90% 66–87 ✓
Cornell @ Syracuse +4.7 154.0 73% 63–78 ✓
Toledo @ Marshall +8.6 160.2 80% 85–100 ✓
Tulane @ George Mason -1.0 144.3 45% 56–62 ✗
Illinois State @ Ball State +4.0 139.2 67% 69–83 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Tech +14.6 138.2 88% 52–102 ✓
Bradley @ Arkansas +12.2 133.2 84% 57–76 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Illinois +26.3 153.4 91% 47–68 ✓
Grambling @ Virginia Tech +16.6 135.4 88% 48–74 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Jacksonville +11.1 135.6 82% 63–72 ✓
Western Carolina @ Tennessee Tech +2.3 145.2 55% 75–65 ✗
UC Davis @ Eastern Washington -0.7 144.4 58% 68–79 ✗
Northern Illinois @ VCU +13.3 140.5 87% 63–90 ✓
UNC Asheville @ East Tennessee State +0.5 142.4 53% 74–73 ✗
Hampton @ Norfolk State +7.4 143.0 79% 66–78 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Bellarmine +9.9 135.4 77% 71–67 ✗
Villanova @ Saint Joseph's -4.9 144.5 23% 71–64 ✓
Lipscomb @ Michigan +15.1 146.7 88% 75–83 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Hartford -5.5 125.2 24% 67–51 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Furman +1.8 146.3 61% 70–72 ✓
San Francisco @ UNLV +8.1 144.4 73% 75–73 ✗
Temple @ Ole Miss +10.3 134.7 83% 55–63 ✓
UCLA @ Kentucky -3.9 139.4 35% 63–53 ✓
Utah @ BYU -3.2 145.8 38% 66–75 ✗
Davidson @ Purdue +13.6 144.8 86% 61–69 ✓
Texas Southern @ North Carolina A&T -0.9 138.6 54% 66–67 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.