Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
43–12 on winners spread MAE 8.2 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ Butler -7.9 138.3 29% 68–46 ✓
Sacramento State @ Fresno State +8.7 133.5 78% 59–53 ✗
San José State @ Pacific +0.2 139.5 47% 58–59 ✓
Winthrop @ LSU +12.7 145.1 88% 81–89 ✓
Nebraska @ Kansas State +9.6 136.4 82% 56–71 ✓
Texas A&M @ Memphis +8.2 147.7 79% 79–83 ✓
Richmond @ Clemson -1.7 135.6 45% 57–85 ✗
Pepperdine @ Grand Canyon +8.1 134.7 82% 73–83 ✓
Portland @ Oregon +9.2 143.1 78% 56–78 ✓
Drake @ Saint Louis +5.8 141.8 74% 75–83 ✓
Wyoming @ Dayton +2.0 131.4 61% 49–66 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP +1.4 144.0 63% 55–60 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Iowa +21.7 154.4 90% 75–106 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Wichita State +0.6 134.5 45% 59–49 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.6 128.5 42% 65–59 ✗
Idaho State @ Washington +14.2 136.2 86% 55–90 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Portland State -0.1 144.7 50% 85–73 ✓
Tennessee @ Arizona +1.2 146.4 66% 70–75 ✓
NC State @ Vanderbilt -5.3 142.4 28% 70–66 ✓
Howard @ Harvard +12.0 134.5 82% 66–54 ✗
Canisius @ Penn State +17.0 147.1 88% 67–97 ✓
Stanford @ Texas +6.9 132.8 72% 62–72 ✓
Army @ Stony Brook -1.4 136.9 46% 59–66 ✗
William & Mary @ UMBC +8.5 140.4 80% 62–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ Iowa State +24.8 130.2 90% 57–73 ✓
Merrimack @ Bucknell +9.9 128.3 83% 55–61 ✓
Northeastern @ UIC +4.6 135.5 72% 73–81 ✓
Elon @ Valparaiso +5.7 138.6 63% 66–71 ✓
High Point @ UNC Wilmington +11.1 144.7 84% 82–85 ✓
Niagara @ NJIT -2.5 128.4 40% 53–62 ✗
Belmont @ Chattanooga +8.3 153.8 75% 83–79 ✗
Robert Morris @ Mount St. Mary's +6.0 130.8 71% 68–59 ✗
Rhode Island @ Georgia State +1.9 129.3 54% 66–75 ✓
UAlbany @ Loyola Chicago +14.5 138.8 88% 56–68 ✓
Long Island University @ James Madison +24.0 157.2 91% 79–115 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's -5.1 129.6 43% 56–63 ✗
Norfolk State @ North Carolina A&T -3.3 140.1 31% 70–66 ✓
Green Bay @ Oregon State +14.7 128.9 89% 56–65 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Eastern Michigan -3.5 154.5 47% 77–79 ✗
McNeese @ Southern Miss +21.7 136.4 90% 67–86 ✓
Tarleton State @ Air Force +3.7 134.5 68% 67–81 ✓
Oakland @ Boise State +22.8 144.9 90% 57–77 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ UTSA +7.9 142.7 82% 69–90 ✓
Southern @ UAB +16.5 153.1 88% 66–92 ✓
Texas Southern @ Hampton -5.2 143.0 33% 82–77 ✓
Cleveland State @ Loyola Marymount +5.2 138.3 73% 59–70 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Colorado +16.6 152.8 88% 77–88 ✓
California @ Santa Clara +13.0 131.8 87% 62–71 ✓
Buffalo @ West Virginia +18.3 151.9 90% 78–96 ✓
Auburn @ USC +0.3 140.8 59% 71–74 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia -1.3 130.6 47% 62–77 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ TCU +24.3 134.1 91% 43–88 ✓
Central Michigan @ Missouri State +13.1 130.2 83% 58–79 ✓
Alcorn State @ Seattle U +10.9 141.2 84% 58–72 ✓
Iona @ New Mexico +2.9 146.2 63% 74–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.