I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–27 on winners spread MAE 8.4 75 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Ohio State +4.4 140.7 64% 71–69 ✗
SMU @ Houston +19.3 129.9 89% 53–87 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +6.4 139.5 72% 72–64 ✗
Lafayette @ Boston University +6.1 131.8 73% 69–73 ✓
Army @ Loyola Maryland -2.5 135.7 41% 78–55 ✓
American University @ Holy Cross -6.4 127.4 24% 73–68 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -2.2 130.9 42% 50–68 ✗
Bryant @ Vermont +4.6 147.8 67% 64–74 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +9.3 144.2 82% 83–92 ✓
Navy @ Colgate +5.9 145.8 78% 73–87 ✓
UAB @ Florida Atlantic +5.5 151.3 74% 86–88 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida International -8.6 132.8 24% 60–62 ✗
Wagner @ Stonehill +0.6 132.8 53% 58–62 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +0.5 131.4 49% 59–55 ✗
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut +9.7 143.9 86% 59–78 ✓
Texas State @ James Madison +11.6 140.4 81% 63–62 ✗
Old Dominion @ Troy +4.7 134.1 67% 71–78 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia Southern -6.2 136.3 33% 76–81 ✗
Omaha @ Western Illinois +4.7 144.2 75% 78–74 ✗
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville +9.6 147.6 84% 72–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +9.4 140.6 82% 56–78 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +17.3 141.0 91% 69–79 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +6.4 137.0 73% 68–64 ✗
Drexel @ Towson +4.2 127.9 68% 58–64 ✓
Hofstra @ Hampton -9.8 151.7 21% 67–51 ✓
Stony Brook @ Monmouth -2.9 130.5 30% 67–56 ✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary +0.4 133.1 52% 66–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida -0.8 145.4 45% 86–89 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Liberty +14.2 132.3 87% 41–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ Stetson +0.9 128.6 57% 61–73 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Rio Grande Valley -6.0 155.8 27% 66–64 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Sam Houston +8.2 129.5 77% 72–68 ✗
Georgia State @ UL Monroe -2.0 131.6 45% 58–66 ✗
Washington State @ Arizona State +4.3 132.9 71% 71–77 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UTSA -9.8 144.8 18% 72–75 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Rice +1.9 149.9 50% 88–82 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Arlington -6.7 136.9 24% 72–64 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State -0.2 148.2 67% 65–68 ✗
Southern Miss @ Louisiana -1.0 146.1 55% 61–75 ✗
Arkansas State @ South Alabama +7.6 127.8 78% 45–63 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State -0.5 136.7 56% 59–65 ✗
South Dakota @ North Dakota +0.2 139.9 46% 62–60 ✗
Denver @ St. Thomas +4.9 146.9 73% 71–81 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State -1.8 144.0 52% 80–84 ✗
Montana State @ Northern Colorado -2.8 144.1 38% 77–56 ✓
Montana @ Northern Arizona -3.5 143.1 39% 74–75 ✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +3.6 143.7 63% 62–86 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Austin Peay -7.5 138.6 25% 59–61 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas -2.5 154.8 35% 77–75 ✓
Lamar @ LSU New Orleans +3.7 145.4 65% 55–81 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +12.6 154.1 88% 59–71 ✓
Northwestern State @ McNeese -2.9 139.6 42% 77–92 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +2.3 137.4 64% 49–70 ✓
Indiana @ Iowa +2.4 156.3 75% 89–91 ✓
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +1.9 136.5 44% 70–61 ✗
North Texas @ Western Kentucky -7.0 126.5 18% 70–66 ✓
Oregon @ Colorado +3.1 139.3 69% 41–68 ✓
Nicholls @ East Texas A&M +0.7 145.7 59% 66–63 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin +1.3 156.0 56% 82–87 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Davis -1.8 146.8 43% 88–83 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +1.3 132.8 46% 85–83 ✗
Portland State @ Eastern Washington +4.7 151.3 74% 80–92 ✓
USC @ UCLA +13.1 142.8 87% 58–60 ✓
Oregon State @ Utah +15.2 132.0 88% 60–79 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +1.4 133.9 52% 58–72 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine -2.3 154.3 31% 89–79 ✓
Pacific @ San Diego +5.9 153.7 72% 84–82 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.2 119.2 54% 51–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge -4.1 143.8 27% 84–74 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC San Diego -5.7 129.1 27% 62–49 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside +4.4 136.1 68% 77–62 ✗
Washington @ Arizona +15.2 156.7 89% 67–70 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -2.0 155.9 28% 77–75 ✓
BYU @ Loyola Marymount +1.1 144.1 52% 59–64 ✓
Western Michigan @ Toledo +13.2 153.1 87% 74–102 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.