If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–17 on winners spread MAE 7.3 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Georgia Tech -3.7 144.9 38% 70–76 ✗
Duke @ NC State -0.9 140.5 53% 60–84 ✗
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +2.4 127.8 54% 63–60 ✗
Tulsa @ Tulane +9.7 155.5 84% 77–93 ✓
Temple @ South Florida +1.3 135.8 59% 68–64 ✗
UCF @ East Carolina -5.0 130.3 30% 64–61 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -3.7 136.5 32% 69–67 ✓
Penn State @ Michigan +3.6 146.9 64% 69–79 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida +6.4 141.5 74% 66–63 ✗
George Washington @ Richmond +7.8 141.9 80% 63–73 ✓
VCU @ Duquesne +1.9 136.3 61% 70–79 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Dayton +14.2 135.2 85% 56–76 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +6.7 137.5 78% 57–80 ✓
George Mason @ St. Bonaventure +2.4 132.0 57% 69–73 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +0.6 137.7 57% 79–82 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +8.4 139.7 81% 65–60 ✗
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +6.1 134.2 75% 72–82 ✓
UNC Asheville @ High Point +2.2 152.8 63% 76–72 ✗
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -8.3 146.7 21% 79–74 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell -2.8 127.8 44% 58–63 ✗
Wofford @ Mercer +1.3 137.2 53% 53–52 ✗
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +4.1 137.1 61% 71–60 ✗
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +0.1 137.9 54% 61–73 ✓
The Citadel @ Furman +11.2 148.2 86% 72–97 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -9.9 136.4 15% 81–66 ✓
Saint Louis @ Massachusetts +0.9 144.9 60% 81–90 ✓
New Mexico State @ Stephen F. Austin +1.0 145.2 58% 60–69 ✓
VMI @ Samford +10.2 141.4 86% 78–87 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +7.9 134.0 85% 68–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State -4.6 144.8 38% 76–67 ✓
Evansville @ Missouri State +16.1 130.6 86% 62–85 ✓
Drake @ Southern Illinois +3.0 128.8 64% 49–53 ✓
Belmont @ UIC -3.7 142.6 37% 77–71 ✓
Bradley @ Murray State -2.2 130.0 45% 58–67 ✗
UConn @ Providence -3.3 144.6 53% 61–73 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +4.0 139.1 71% 66–80 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +11.4 141.9 84% 61–91 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock +1.1 147.2 50% 67–62 ✗
Missouri @ Arkansas +9.3 155.0 79% 68–74 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern +0.2 136.9 49% 85–72 ✗
TCU @ Baylor +5.2 141.9 72% 88–87 ✗
Wake Forest @ North Carolina +8.6 155.2 81% 79–88 ✓
Clemson @ Virginia Tech +6.5 141.3 74% 68–65 ✗
DePaul @ Butler +9.8 143.8 85% 70–78 ✓
Illinois @ Northwestern +1.0 132.0 63% 60–73 ✓
Southern @ Prairie View A&M +1.7 142.6 51% 66–62 ✗
Colorado State @ Nevada +7.2 139.4 80% 69–80 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ St. Francis Brooklyn -0.1 139.1 37% 76–57 ✓
Maine @ UMass Lowell +11.4 140.2 88% 70–72 ✓
Maryland @ Rutgers +8.1 128.3 77% 50–64 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ App State +3.5 139.3 66% 62–63 ✓
Queens University @ Bellarmine -3.0 136.5 38% 75–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.