I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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58–19 on winners spread MAE 8.3 77 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
App State @ Furman +8.0 147.0 74% 65–73 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Tennessee State +4.7 126.0 69% 44–70 ✓
Vermont @ Brown +3.3 131.6 68% 70–65 ✗
Army @ NJIT +5.1 140.0 65% 66–49 ✗
High Point @ South Carolina State -4.4 143.8 38% 66–67 ✗
Green Bay @ Kansas City +9.7 133.5 80% 55–64 ✓
Murray State @ Memphis +4.6 143.5 70% 74–72 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Vanderbilt -2.3 134.9 43% 69–58 ✓
DePaul @ Louisville +4.2 146.8 67% 62–55 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ North Dakota State +4.1 130.7 64% 54–68 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Boise State +18.0 143.2 88% 60–97 ✓
Milwaukee @ Colorado +11.8 135.6 84% 54–65 ✓
Nebraska @ Auburn +14.5 160.0 87% 68–99 ✓
Wisconsin @ Ohio State +3.1 140.5 66% 55–73 ✓
BYU @ Creighton -4.8 140.8 33% 71–83 ✗
Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech +12.6 152.2 84% 69–78 ✓
Syracuse @ Georgetown +2.7 160.8 65% 75–79 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Delaware State -3.6 133.8 29% 75–61 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +2.6 150.5 60% 65–78 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ VMI +3.9 143.8 70% 61–64 ✓
Charlotte @ Valparaiso +5.6 141.8 72% 68–67 ✗
Temple @ Saint Joseph's +1.7 142.0 59% 49–68 ✓
New Hampshire @ Duquesne +0.1 137.6 53% 62–64 ✓
Florida International @ Eastern Michigan +1.4 143.6 55% 88–92 ✓
Western Michigan @ Detroit Mercy +12.3 146.0 86% 64–83 ✓
Arkansas @ Oklahoma -0.4 143.0 48% 66–88 ✗
Penn State @ Michigan State +11.0 132.6 85% 64–80 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Mercer +2.9 137.2 66% 68–77 ✓
Troy @ Tennessee Tech +5.6 142.5 68% 75–72 ✗
Princeton @ Lafayette -3.5 147.7 37% 84–73 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina +2.3 143.1 56% 73–72 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Providence +24.1 138.5 91% 53–68 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ UCF +15.8 142.5 87% 68–83 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Tulsa +1.1 131.1 53% 65–69 ✓
Mississippi State @ Colorado State +2.2 148.6 61% 63–66 ✓
Pennsylvania @ La Salle +2.4 142.4 72% 74–76 ✓
Drake @ Clemson +1.4 139.8 53% 80–90 ✓
Austin Peay @ North Florida -2.6 140.1 34% 84–91 ✗
Eastern Washington @ North Dakota -7.0 152.8 22% 76–60 ✓
Maine @ Quinnipiac +17.3 140.8 90% 47–73 ✓
Siena @ Holy Cross -1.1 134.4 38% 72–59 ✓
Canisius @ Youngstown State +10.4 145.1 81% 43–71 ✓
Ohio @ Stetson -4.6 136.6 35% 55–45 ✓
Morgan State @ Longwood +13.1 140.6 86% 55–94 ✓
Hartford @ UNLV +5.6 139.2 71% 78–95 ✓
South Dakota State @ Washington State +6.8 153.3 74% 77–74 ✗
Lamar @ UT Arlington +7.0 141.1 71% 47–56 ✓
Illinois State @ Chicago State +1.8 148.3 53% 81–71 ✗
Towson @ Coppin State -6.2 141.0 28% 89–75 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Jacksonville +9.0 125.1 80% 48–77 ✓
Missouri @ Kansas +24.9 148.7 90% 65–102 ✓
Grambling @ Incarnate Word -0.5 141.8 55% 62–72 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ UConn +7.5 145.0 75% 64–74 ✓
Morehead State @ East Tennessee State +3.9 131.5 65% 75–82 ✓
American University @ Mount St. Mary's +7.2 139.9 73% 72–66 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Butler +20.1 123.3 91% 54–66 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Missouri State +11.6 152.6 83% 60–69 ✓
UTSA @ Sam Houston +2.3 134.8 58% 78–73 ✗
Pacific @ San José State +2.7 133.0 63% 66–78 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Tennessee +20.5 137.2 90% 36–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ South Dakota +3.0 141.2 63% 71–76 ✓
North Texas @ Massachusetts -2.0 138.3 46% 66–57 ✓
UIC @ Central Michigan -4.0 145.8 26% 71–67 ✓
Arizona @ Illinois -3.6 154.9 32% 83–79 ✓
Arkansas State @ Mississippi Valley State -8.3 145.3 15% 82–77 ✓
Boston College @ Saint Louis +7.1 140.2 77% 68–79 ✓
Manhattan @ Utah +12.3 143.8 85% 62–96 ✓
Kentucky @ Notre Dame -4.0 141.4 30% 62–66 ✗
LSU @ Georgia Tech -10.3 135.9 18% 69–53 ✓
Alabama State @ Pepperdine +6.2 152.4 75% 62–79 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Saint Mary's +8.8 133.0 78% 59–80 ✓
Toledo @ Richmond +5.3 151.7 70% 69–72 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Southern +5.8 143.5 65% 66–72 ✓
Boston University @ Dartmouth -0.1 136.8 51% 65–62 ✓
TCU @ Texas A&M +0.6 132.4 50% 68–64 ✗
Bryant @ Stony Brook +7.2 145.0 81% 78–86 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan +4.8 137.3 72% 75–65 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.