Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +26 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -7.9 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -3.8 (+22.2) | 122.2 (-8.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -4.5 (+21.5) | 127.8 (-13.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -4.7 (+21.3) | 126.0 (-12.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -5.9 (+20.1) | 123.9 (-9.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2020 | IUIN 69 – 66 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 1-16 |
| Home | 8-5 | 2-11 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 51.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#336) | -14.9 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.68 (#352) | -3.57 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.20 (#353) | -5.02 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.263 (#359) | 0.316 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 36.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 29.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.7% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
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