They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Leede Arena · December 11, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 126.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total DART win
Actual BU +3 127 Lost
Massey BU -0.8 (-2.2)
Massey Totals 132.6 (-5.6)
Bradley-Terry 49%
Weighted B-T 45%
Efficiency Plus ML BU -1.1 (-1.9) 128.6 (-1.6) 49%
Baseline Tuned ML DART -0.5 (-3.5) 136.9 (-9.9) 49%
Baseline ML BU -0.1 (-2.9) 136.8 (-9.8) 51%
Baseline Plus ML DART -0.3 (-3.3) 133.5 (-6.5) 50%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 13, 2025 DART 7764 BU
Nov 16, 2024 BU 7850 DART
Dec 14, 2023 DART 6354 BU
Dec 14, 2022 BU 6759 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DART BU
Overall 9-16 22-13
Conference 6-8 11-7
Home 5-5 11-4
Away 4-11 8-8
Neutral 0-0 3-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak W2 L1
Avg Pts For 66.5 70.1
Avg Pts Against 68.0 67.9
Massey -3.0 (#236) 2.6 (#125)
Bradley-Terry -0.28 (#208) 0.63 (#126)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#203) 0.90 (#123)
RPI 0.495 (#183) 0.512 (#157)
Shooting & Four Factors DART BU
FG% 39.1% 44.0%
3PT% 35.0% 34.4%
REB / G 32.5 35.4
OREB / G 7.8 10.5
AST / TO 0.93 0.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.8% 51.1%
TOV% 17.5% 23.2%
ORB% 20.8% 33.5%
FT Rate 11.2% 27.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 17.6%
DRB% 70.8% 77.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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