Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BU -333 DART +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | BU -12.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -8.5 (-0.5) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -9.1 (-1.1) | 140.1 (-14.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -9.5 (-1.5) | 138.9 (-12.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -9.7 (-1.7) | 139.3 (-13.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | DART 77 – 64 BU |
| Nov 16, 2024 | BU 78 – 50 DART |
| Dec 14, 2023 | DART 63 – 54 BU |
| Dec 11, 2021 | BU 65 – 62 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#204) | -8.9 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#208) | -1.68 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#230) | -2.67 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#202) | 0.409 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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