Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DART -155 BU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | DART -4.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -4.2 (+8.8) | 142.6 (-1.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -3.8 (+9.2) | 146.9 (-5.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DART -3.9 (+9.1) | 148.8 (-7.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -3.9 (+9.1) | 146.0 (-5.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | BU 78 – 50 DART |
| Dec 14, 2023 | DART 63 – 54 BU |
| Dec 14, 2022 | BU 67 – 59 DART |
| Dec 11, 2021 | BU 65 – 62 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#266) | -5.8 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#316) | -1.48 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#319) | -3.14 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#295) | 0.419 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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