Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | BU -200 DART +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +28 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | BU -7.7 (+20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -2.8 (+25.2) | 138.9 (-10.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -3.6 (+24.4) | 141.8 (-13.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -3.8 (+24.2) | 142.1 (-14.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -2.4 (+25.6) | 142.4 (-14.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | DART 77 – 64 BU |
| Dec 14, 2023 | DART 63 – 54 BU |
| Dec 14, 2022 | BU 67 – 59 DART |
| Dec 11, 2021 | BU 65 – 62 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#330) | -9.0 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#355) | -1.74 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.10 (#350) | -2.85 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.278 (#329) | 0.200 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 11.8% | 46.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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