Colorado State
Rams
66
–
63
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Classic
Mississippi State
Bulldogs
Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -2.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -1.1 (+1.9) | 143.0 (-14.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -2.3 (+0.7) | 148.5 (-19.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -2.2 (+0.8) | 148.6 (-19.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -1.9 (+1.1) | 145.7 (-16.7) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-6 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-3 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#38) | 8.2 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#7) | 1.36 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.43 (#7) | 2.10 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#19) | 0.559 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.3% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 44.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.3% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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