Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -8.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -8.0 (-11.0) | 151.8 (-0.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -7.7 (-10.7) | 155.2 (-4.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -6.8 (-9.8) | 153.3 (-2.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -8.5 (-11.5) | 155.6 (-4.6) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 18-0 |
| Home | 13-7 | 14-0 |
| Away | 8-5 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 84.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#23) | 4.4 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#77) | 0.56 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#68) | 0.53 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#67) | 0.547 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 42.1% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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