Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -4.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.8 (+33.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -5.0 (+2.0) | 133.8 (+23.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -4.2 (+2.8) | 130.9 (+26.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -3.9 (+3.1) | 131.5 (+25.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -5.7 (+1.3) | 127.0 (+30.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | ETSU 77 – 62 MORE |
| Dec 11, 2022 | MORE 61 – 57 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#115) | 3.0 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#85) | 1.72 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#74) | 2.25 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#49) | 0.637 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 11.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 8.2% |
Game Analysis
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