Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +9 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | KC -12.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -8.7 (+0.3) | 133.7 (-14.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -9.4 (-0.4) | 129.0 (-10.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -8.9 (+0.1) | 130.9 (-11.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -9.7 (-0.7) | 133.5 (-14.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | GB 70 – 64 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-3 | 4-9 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#219) | -9.6 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#177) | -2.82 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#166) | -4.02 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#155) | 0.433 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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