Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +11 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -5.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -4.4 (-6.6) | 147.9 (+9.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -5.4 (-5.6) | 146.2 (+10.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -3.9 (-7.1) | 145.8 (+11.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -3.5 (-7.5) | 147.7 (+9.3) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | PRIN 69 – 58 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 23-7 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-2 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#304) | 1.8 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#300) | 0.93 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#317) | 1.04 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#265) | 0.535 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 12.0% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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