Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -700 LAF +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -16.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -15.2 (-4.2) | 130.9 (-3.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -15.3 (-4.3) | 128.9 (-1.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -15.3 (-4.3) | 132.6 (-5.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -14.8 (-3.8) | 131.9 (-4.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | PRIN 84 – 73 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#60) | -3.4 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#82) | -2.77 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#84) | -3.65 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#96) | 0.412 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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