Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +34 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -16.3 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -16.9 (+17.1) | 143.8 (+14.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -12.3 (+21.7) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -12.3 (+21.7) | 143.8 (+14.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -14.2 (+19.8) | 142.9 (+15.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#71) | -4.9 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#96) | 0.37 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#99) | -0.22 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#47) | 0.517 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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