Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -4.3 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -3.2 (+14.8) | 136.8 (-8.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.9 (+15.1) | 140.3 (-12.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -3.1 (+14.9) | 140.5 (-12.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.8 (+15.2) | 139.1 (-11.1) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OSU 86 – 69 WIS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WIS 92 – 82 OSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIS 70 – 68 OSU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | WIS 62 – 54 OSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WIS 71 – 60 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#32) | 11.9 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#22) | 3.56 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.80 (#21) | 4.61 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.689 (#6) | 0.704 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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