Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +16 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -16.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -9.9 (-6.1) | 136.5 (-14.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -8.3 (-7.7) | 136.7 (-14.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -10.3 (-5.7) | 135.9 (-13.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -9.5 (-6.5) | 138.4 (-16.4) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-10 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 63.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#153) | 22.5 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#176) | 4.12 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#134) | 6.55 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#227) | 0.721 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 39.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 27.1% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.