Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -8.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -9.8 (+1.2) | 135.9 (+11.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -6.8 (+4.2) | 139.5 (+7.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -7.1 (+3.9) | 140.2 (+6.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -7.0 (+4.0) | 138.0 (+9.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#60) | 3.6 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#90) | 0.25 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#86) | 0.51 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#126) | 0.485 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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