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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–3 on winners
spread MAE 7.8
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Purdue
@
Rutgers
|
-15.4 | 144.0 | 21% | 68–70 | ✗ |
Nicholls
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-8.3 | 142.0 | 16% | 95–80 | ✓ |
Detroit Mercy
@
Kent State
|
+3.4 | 138.9 | 67% | 52–69 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
William & Mary
|
+1.4 | 129.1 | 37% | 54–53 | ✗ |
Long Island University
@
Fordham
|
+11.1 | 145.9 | 84% | 57–73 | ✓ |
Colgate
@
Pittsburgh
|
-1.3 | 140.8 | 49% | 68–71 | ✗ |
Monmouth
@
St. John's
|
+2.1 | 152.3 | 57% | 83–88 | ✓ |
Merrimack
@
Gonzaga
|
+25.9 | 137.8 | 90% | 55–80 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Iowa State
|
+4.2 | 149.7 | 63% | 53–73 | ✓ |
Denver
@
New Mexico
|
+7.7 | 153.6 | 73% | 67–87 | ✓ |
Grand Canyon
@
Arizona State
|
+0.5 | 134.0 | 46% | 62–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.