Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
37–15 on winners spread MAE 9.9 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ West Virginia -3.5 144.8 40% 53–56 ✗
North Florida @ Florida +22.8 137.4 90% 55–85 ✓
Indiana @ Wisconsin +5.3 139.2 72% 59–64 ✓
Alabama A&M @ North Alabama +11.1 135.7 85% 45–56 ✓
Samford @ Alabama State -0.6 154.9 41% 74–64 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Western Carolina +3.4 145.7 63% 69–74 ✓
Wofford @ Gardner-Webb +1.7 140.3 57% 78–70 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Boston University +6.0 135.7 73% 62–72 ✓
Saint Francis @ American University -6.1 152.5 29% 73–83 ✗
Lafayette @ Delaware +12.2 143.3 84% 58–68 ✓
Wagner @ Penn State -2.1 130.7 40% 54–74 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ St. Bonaventure +10.3 138.1 81% 71–84 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Saint Joseph's +5.4 145.0 73% 71–78 ✓
Hofstra @ Stony Brook -2.4 151.5 43% 62–79 ✗
Lipscomb @ Miami +5.6 151.7 73% 59–76 ✓
Jacksonville State @ VCU +9.3 126.9 77% 52–66 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Dartmouth +6.3 142.4 72% 72–69 ✗
Holy Cross @ Fairfield +18.0 145.6 91% 59–74 ✓
Marist @ Binghamton +2.2 142.2 63% 64–51 ✗
Canisius @ Northern Kentucky +4.0 140.1 65% 62–75 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Peter's +10.2 133.0 73% 71–60 ✗
Niagara @ Eastern Michigan -0.6 141.1 49% 58–60 ✗
Central Michigan @ Youngstown State +17.3 146.0 90% 77–84 ✓
Missouri State @ Little Rock -5.0 147.7 25% 81–55 ✓
Evansville @ Southeast Missouri State +0.9 144.2 60% 73–75 ✓
New Hampshire @ Bryant -3.1 138.2 40% 59–76 ✗
Arkansas State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -2.4 143.3 30% 84–73 ✓
Buffalo @ Western Kentucky +0.9 154.3 55% 77–67 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ SIU Edwardsville +4.4 144.6 69% 59–80 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Colorado +8.1 152.1 78% 57–60 ✓
Utah @ TCU -1.8 134.9 44% 62–76 ✗
McNeese @ Louisiana +6.7 139.6 75% 68–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +9.1 153.6 82% 69–75 ✓
Dayton @ SMU +2.3 141.7 57% 69–77 ✓
UMBC @ Georgetown +0.1 151.3 53% 71–100 ✓
Michigan State @ Minnesota +0.8 133.1 56% 75–67 ✗
Towson @ Ohio State +8.5 142.3 78% 74–85 ✓
Utah State @ BYU +8.5 145.3 78% 71–82 ✓
Air Force @ Montana +0.1 133.2 53% 48–66 ✓
Marquette @ Kansas State +6.7 142.9 72% 64–63 ✗
South Dakota State @ Idaho -12.1 165.9 26% 84–98 ✗
Utah Valley @ Southern Utah +1.3 150.7 51% 56–60 ✓
Cornell @ Virginia Tech +10.9 146.0 79% 60–93 ✓
Drake @ Omaha -13.3 139.1 14% 78–70 ✓
Wyoming @ Arizona +13.4 150.2 82% 65–94 ✓
Weber State @ Washington State +6.8 139.3 76% 60–94 ✓
Seattle U @ UNLV +0.8 144.5 48% 56–76 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego State +6.5 130.8 75% 56–66 ✓
Idaho State @ California +13.7 129.7 87% 46–72 ✓
Fresno State @ San Francisco +10.7 132.4 80% 63–71 ✓
Texas @ Seton Hall +5.3 135.0 67% 60–64 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ NC State +12.3 149.7 86% 48–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.