Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +11 | 101 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -11.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -9.7 (+1.3) | 132.3 (-31.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -9.5 (+1.5) | 135.7 (-34.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -11.1 (-0.1) | 135.7 (-34.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -10.0 (+1.0) | 136.1 (-35.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2025 | AAMU 68 – 60 UNA |
| Nov 10, 2023 | UNA 83 – 67 AAMU |
| Nov 11, 2022 | UNA 84 – 76 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#276) | -13.2 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#220) | -1.62 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#227) | -2.69 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#221) | 0.424 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 37.8% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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